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Complex Risk Analysis of Natural Hazards through Fuzzy Logic

P. Zlateva 1 and D. Velev 2
1. ISER, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, Sofia 1113, Bulgaria
2. University of National and World Economy, Sofia 1700, Bulgaria
Abstract—The paper presents a fuzzy logic approach to complex risk analysis in regard to each of the natural hazards for a given monitoring region. This approach is based on the available statistical data and the expert knowledge. The calculations of the complex risk are done for five regions in SW Bulgaria (Dupnitsa, Blagoevgrad, Simitli, Kresna and Sandanski). The proposed risk analysis is envisaged to be implemented as a part of a Web information system for risk management of natural disasters.

Index Terms—risk analysis, fuzzy logic, natural hazards, Europe, SW Bulgaria

Cite: P. Zlateva and D. Velev, "Complex Risk Analysis of Natural Hazards through Fuzzy Logic," Journal of Advanced Management Science, Vol. 1, No. 4, pp. 395-400, December 2013. doi: 10.12720/joams.1.4.395-400
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